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Top 10 forecasts for the future

I’m not sure why future forecasts always require 10 items. Why not 6? or 11? Does selecting a nice round number like ’10′ provide a glimpse into our assumptions that the future will exhibit some type of order?
The World Future Society has listed its top 10 trends for 2009 and beyond. Some are fairly obvious (growth of electricity access, urbanization). Others are intriguing in terms of implications to education: “Professional knowledge will become obsolete almost as quickly as it’s acquired. An individual’s professional knowledge is becoming outdated at a much faster rate than ever before” and “Everything you say and do will be recorded by 2030″.


  1. Steve Sorden wrote:

    I wonder about forecasts 4 & 6. I can accept that careers are becoming more specialized and that professional knowledge is becoming outdated at a much faster rate than ever before (decreasing half-life).

    So why then, would you get a college degree in a highly specialized field? It may be a short-term trend, but definitely not long-term. A trend towards professional certifications with or without college seems much more likely. It seems that the only reason to attend a university in the future may be to attain a liberal arts degree. Liberal arts would prepare one to function well in a rapidly changing world that will continue to need learned, democratically-minded, and ethical decision makers with a sense of our place in the historic continuum. It would also be knowledge that won’t rapidly deteriorate in value, (we’ll debate the same shades of philosophical questions that affect our practices for another 1,000 years), and so it would be worth the time and expense to develop in a university setting.

    Wednesday, December 24, 2008 at 11:38 am | Permalink
  2. Alan Levine wrote:

    Yeah! 10 is for Letterman.

    NMC Horizon Report has always done 6

    Wednesday, December 24, 2008 at 1:16 pm | Permalink
  3. In regards to: “Professional knowledge will become obsolete almost as quickly as it’s acquired.”

    However, acquiring knowledge is become quicker and easier (e.g. mobile learning, e-learning, blogs, etc.). So, being in constant learning mode may be dizzying, but possible.

    FYI: Maybe it is 10 because we are finally moving to the metric system.

    Thanks for the link.

    Wednesday, December 24, 2008 at 1:24 pm | Permalink
  4. Gary Conger wrote:

    (spell check) Think the most striking thing is that the government wants to put chips in us. That is %100 not ok with me. It sounds like were being marked and tracked like animals and electronics like the internet, this chip and cell phones is just the way there going to track us. I feel like the people who are in power (like real power) are using this information and what we know about psychology to manipulate us into working and spending to help feed them absurd amounts of power and money. ask your self are we slaves to this and stay blind to the poverty, war, disease, destruction of our earth or are we going to wake up and realize we are going through a similar experience and for what ever the reason why were here how ever we got here why not help every one enjoy there experience. One way to help people is through love. We know a lot of what people need to be healthy, nutrition exercise, and environment. When you bring together the love and health that’s the’s the body and spirit and then Shorty after happiness will follow and complete the mind body sprit triad.
    Peace and love

    Wednesday, December 31, 2008 at 2:57 pm | Permalink

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  1. In the year 2030 » The Curious and Wondering Eye on Thursday, January 1, 2009 at 10:26 am

    [...] to catch up with my blog reader, I undoubtedly came across George Siemens’ post on the “Top 10 forecasts for the future” which were issued by the World Future [...]